Coronavirus
2020 Watch: Can Trump avoid blame amid deaths, weak economy? Wisconsin, now, only state voting Tuesday
NEW YORK — Presidential politics move fast. What we’re watching heading into a new week on the 2020 campaign:
Wisconsin primary (all other states postponed voting amid virus pandemic): Today
Days to general election: 211
THE NARRATIVE
President Donald Trump has entered the most critical stretch of his presidency. Each move he makes to manage the coronavirus pandemic carries enormous implications for the health and economic strength of the nation — and, of course, his reelection bid. This moment is about much more than politics, yet, as Steve Bannon tells us, “Every day for President Trump is now Nov. 3.”
THE BIG QUESTIONS
Can Trump avoid responsibility?
Even by his own admission, the coming days will be horrific for America as the death toll explodes and the related economic fallout deepens.
The president has gone to great lengths to avoid taking responsibility. He continues to allow state leaders to adopt their own patchwork system of social distancing policies while laying some of the blame for dangerous shortages of medical supplies on private businesses and state officials.
He appears to be laying the groundwork for a larger political argument just seven months before Election Day. Polling suggests that voters have been willing to give him the benefit of the doubt. This week we’ll almost certainly see new clues as to whether the strategy is working.
What is happening in Wisconsin?
Wisconsin this week offers an important test case in how (not) to hold presidential elections in the midst of a pandemic.
The circumstances leading up to Tuesday’s primary elections are confusing at best.
Gov. Tony Evers has issued a statewide stay-at-home order and warned that holding the election is “an unnecessary health risk.” Yet, Republicans in Washington and Wisconsin fought Evers’ push to move the election to an all-mail ballot affair. A special session Saturday was gaveled in and out in seconds. Supreme Court decisions in the state overruled an Evers’ executive order Monday to postpone the vote. And the US Supreme Court, hours last, overruled a federal judge’s order to extend the deadline to turn in absentee ballots by six days.
The messy lead-up comes as Joe Biden and Bernie Sanders face off in their first presidential primary contest in three weeks.
Still, election officials across the nation will be paying close attention to what works and what doesn’t. More than 20 states have yet to host primary elections — 15 of them postponing because of the virus. Wisconsin was the lone holdout to hold in-person elections.
Why would Bernie say goodbye?
For weeks, Sanders has resisted pressure to suspend his Democratic presidential bid.
Probably because he’s only behind 1,217 to 914 delegates in a race to 1,991 with half the states and multiple territories, including Washington, D.C., left to vote.
Wisconsin voted overwhelmingly for Sanders in 2016 against Hillary Clinton.
The Vermont senator could chip at Biden’s lead, as he’s continued to campaign while the former Vice President is on lockdown. Sanders also can keep pushing Biden to the left on key policies, as the nation begins to see how those could be beneficial amid a pandemic.
It is a delicate calculation for Sanders, whose thinking is further complicated by the unprecedented public health threat. Even Sanders’ inner circle may be conflicted about what to do.
What’s happening with the veepstakes?
Not everything is on pause as Biden remains on lockdown in Delaware. The leading Democratic presidential contender told donors late last week that he’s forming a committee to oversee his vice presidential selection process.
He has offered several hints in recent weeks while promising only that his running mate would be a woman. Michigan Gov. Gretchen Whitmer has emerged as a major player in the discussion as governors play a particularly important role in the coronavirus response, although high-profile senators such as California’s Kamala Harris are decidedly in the mix.
Look for new details to emerge about the vetting process and the short list itself in the days and weeks ahead.
THE FINAL THOUGHT
Few moments in the history of the United States have been more important than this one. It transcends politics, yet nothing will do more over the next year to shape Trump’s reelection effort than his leadership through this pandemic.
His response has been inconsistent on many levels, including late last week when he pointedly noted that he would not follow new federal guidelines promoting the wearing of masks. Trump has always put a premium on appearance, but the reality of the next few weeks and months will matter more.
